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Civil Conflicts Are Associated With The Global Climate
Hsiang, SM, KC Meng, and MA Cane (2011). Civil Conflicts are associated with the global climate. Nature 476: 438-441.
Examines the dominant interannual mode of the modern climate, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and shows that the probability of new civil conflicts arising throughout the tropics doubles during El Niño years relative to La Niña years. This is the first demonstration that the stability of modern societies relates strongly to the global climate.
Published September 12, 2011Read